Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.995022 1.147376 1.311730 1.501776 1.715022 1.946458 2.216170
2024-12-29 0.806581 1.026743 1.284259 1.605694 1.993983 2.445587 3.008097
2025-01-05 0.636168 0.883740 1.194461 1.608395 2.140072 2.794292 3.653660
2025-01-12 0.509627 0.765791 1.108048 1.590557 2.243634 3.086094 4.242329
2025-01-19 0.418537 0.675554 1.038846 1.577314 2.340090 3.364680 4.823967
2025-01-26 0.360954 0.621252 1.008047 1.607012 2.489437 3.716216 5.518773
2025-02-02 0.312472 0.571497 0.974859 1.625254 2.618332 4.042405 6.193845
2025-02-09 0.271056 0.525531 0.939856 1.633764 2.729002 4.344873 6.848585
2025-02-16 0.242612 0.496353 0.926624 1.672321 2.884617 4.718686 7.624159
2025-02-23 0.214367 0.462679 0.900983 1.686390 3.000234 5.036313 8.330467
2025-03-02 0.180004 0.411749 0.838845 1.631807 2.998733 5.170858 8.762579
2025-03-09 0.166182 0.398437 0.841554 1.687758 3.181319 5.601552 9.671724
2025-03-16 0.150808 0.380058 0.833654 1.725640 3.338851 6.005890 10.569012
2025-03-23 0.143235 0.377139 0.854864 1.818387 3.597742 6.590065 11.784877
2025-03-30 0.126050 0.349948 0.824974 1.812307 3.681042 6.887044 12.548046
2025-04-06 0.109614 0.321379 0.788446 1.789162 3.730430 7.127579 13.227478
2025-04-13 0.096054 0.297092 0.757530 1.773246 3.790370 7.387125 13.948081
2025-04-20 0.087850 0.284810 0.750981 1.805603 3.942525 7.814298 14.971973
2025-04-27 0.079670 0.271008 0.739209 1.825581 4.071400 8.205467 15.949514
2025-05-04 0.071725 0.256264 0.723317 1.834916 4.179253 8.562964 16.882206
2025-05-11 0.066545 0.248450 0.722844 1.877485 4.355545 9.053084 18.069042
2025-05-18 0.060419 0.236547 0.710841 1.893015 4.477382 9.447219 19.098941
2025-05-25 0.051376 0.213433 0.667498 1.832714 4.437803 9.535176 19.576164